Congress will soon start debating the federal budget for the
2018 fiscal year. As the following figure shows, the Congressional Budget Office
projects that after shrinking for several years, the budget gap will soon begin
to widen if there are no changes in current policy. Crop insurance is one of
several farm programs in the crosshairs of Congressional budget hawks who hope
to keep that from happening.
Crop insurance may seem like small change compared to
massive programs like health insurance subsidies under the Affordable Care Act,
but critics have long targeted it as wasteful. The Heritage
Foundation, a consistent ally of budget cutters, characterizes crop
insurance, along with other farm subsidy programs, as “a massive transfer of
wealth from taxpayers to mostly large agribusinesses that are (or should be)
fully capable of managing their business operations without this special
treatment.”
The problem begins with the very name of the program. For
several reasons, the risks that crop insurance protects against, which include both
low crop yields and low prices, are not truly insurable, as I explained in this previous post. First, they are not truly fortuitous. Rather than being random events outside the control of
the insured party, losses depend on choices of crops and growing methods.
Second, the covered hazards are not pure
losses. Instead, farming is an ordinary business activity that entails the
possibility of profit as well as loss, in contrast to insurable risks like fire
or theft, which have no upside. Third, premiums for crop loss insurance would
not be affordable without federal
subsidies. The government currently pays 60 percent of the premiums for crop
insurance, and in addition, subsidizes the administrative expenses of the
companies that provide the coverage.
In short, critics say, the program is just one more federal
subsidy, masquerading as insurance.
A recent
report from the CBO includes crop insurance as Number four on a list of
one-hundred and fifteen options for cutting the federal deficit. In its current
form, the program costs the federal government a little over $8 billion per
year. The CBO report estimates that relatively modest reforms to the program,
including a reduction of premium support from 60 percent to 40 percent and a
reduction in reimbursements for the administrative expenses of insurers, would
save more than a third of that amount, as shown in the next chart. Such reforms
would represent a compromise between the farm-state backers of crop insurance
and its most severe critics, who would like to see the program abolished
altogether.
The CBO notes that there is a possible downside to the
proposed reform. If higher premiums caused farmers to withdraw from the
program, Congress might resort to ad hoc disaster assistance to reimburse
losses. Such programs cost an average of $700 million per year in the early
2000s. However, the CBO thinks that withdrawals from the program would not be
widespread, in part because lenders often insist that farm borrowers purchase
crop insurance to strengthen their ability to repay loans.
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