Paul Krugman says the election was
hacked. He thinks Hillary
Clinton would have won the presidency, but for two problems:
I’m
talking about the obvious effect of two factors on voting: the steady drumbeat
of Russia-contrived leaks about Democrats, and only Democrats, and the
dramatic, totally unjustified last-minute intervention by the
F.B.I. . .
Does
anyone really doubt that these factors moved swing-state ballots by at least 1
percent? If they did, they made the difference in Michigan, Wisconsin and
Pennsylvania — and therefore handed Mr. Trump the election, even though he
received almost three million fewer total votes. Yes, the election was hacked.
I’m not sure Krugman has any hard
statistical evidence to back this up, but he may very well be right. Is so,
what is the implication?
Krugman wants us to focus on the
fact that the people who did the hacking were “bad guys.” Vladimir Putin is a
devious authoritarian who arguably had no business trying to tilt the US
election to his favored candidate. The FBI may really, as he says, “have become a highly partisan institution, with
distinct alt-right sympathies” (although I find that a bit of an overstatement.)
In my view, though, we should not
allow the fact that “bad guys did it” to distract our focus from one key fact: What
we learned from the Russian hackers and the FBI was true.
Yes, Clinton really did have a private
email server. At a minimum, by her own admission, that showed bad judgement. It
seems to have been at least a technical violation of State Department rules,
even if the FBI was right to recommend against criminal prosecution. The
server, and Clinton’s handling of the issue, really did turn off some voters.
Yes, the DNC, as revealed by
Wikileaks, really did put its thumb on the scale in the primaries, contrary to its
professed neutrality. Without the DNC’s covert aid—or with a more timely
revelation of that aid—a fairer primary process might well have resulted in the
nomination of Bernie Sanders.
Yes, Clinton’s paid speeches to
banks really did contain material that could have swayed undecided primary
voters, had it come out earlier in the year — her embrace of free trade and
open borders, her offer to give Wall Street executives a larger role in
crafting regulations, her casual willingness to say one thing behind closed
doors and another in public.
None of this was false news. It was
true news. I agree, it would have been more
palatable if it had been revealed by an earnest, all-American whistle
blower within the DNC campaign rather than by the Russians, but that does not
change the fact that the material released was true.
So here is my question: When Krugman
says that Clinton would have won the presidency of only the election had not
been hacked, isn’t that exactly the same as to say that she could have won only
if she had been able to keep the truth safely under wraps?
If it is, then the blame for
Clinton’s defeat lies with the message, no matter how much effort Krugman makes
to shift our focus to the messengers.
It was never about truth. It was about diversion, doubt, innuendo, slander, and yes, lies. The emails were just part of the sideshow.
ReplyDeleteGood points about the leaks, but you glossed over the ill-timed (and violation of standard policy) FBI letter, which may have been the bigger issue given that the campaign had already absorbed the substance of the leaks. This turned out to be a race where Clinton's political "business as usual" behavior weighed more heavily on her than Trump's misogyny, acceptance of racist behavior and other normally disqualifying traits did on him.
ReplyDeleteI don't know what Comey could have done differently. New Clinton emails were discovered, and they had to be reviewed. Trying to sit on them until after the election was not an option... it would have leaked, and that would have looked like a cover-up, which arguably would have hurt Clinton even more. The only lesson that can be drawn from the Comey letter is that nominating a candidate under FBI investigation is inherently dangerous and best avoided.
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