A universal basic income (UBI) and unemployment insurance (UI) are
two possible forms of social insurance for an economy in which job loss
is a significant risk. Which works better? How generous should either
program be? Would a combination of the two be best of all? These are the
questions that Alice Fabre, Stéphane Pallage, and Christian Zimmermann
(FPZ) address in a recent
working paper from the Research Division of the St. Louis Fed.
The answers that the authors give to these questions will disappoint UBI supporters:
- When compared head-to-head, UI is a better social safety net than a UBI.
- In
an economy with no unemployment insurance, a UBI would be better than
nothing, but the optimal level would be quite low, about $2,000 per
person per year for the United States.
- No combination of UI and a UBI is superior to UI alone.
Skeptics
are likely to seize on these findings, but in my view, they do not
support a blanket rejection of a UBI. Instead, as I will explain, they
highlight how important it is for UBI proponents to pay attention to
details of financing and program design.
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